Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COMP5692 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 32.812371 35.341641 38.108866 41.387788 45.202959 49.548319 54.941211
2025-10-19 29.394523 32.797035 36.773463 41.859187 48.342089 56.563809 68.213625
2025-10-26 27.808851 31.770268 36.614824 43.164567 52.125962 64.564004 84.502681
2025-11-02 26.207253 30.441515 35.790516 43.327141 54.225301 70.533932 99.806380
2025-11-09 24.333448 28.554014 33.994235 41.864103 53.668343 72.281838 108.653045
2025-11-16 22.758281 26.913675 32.353573 40.387287 52.797305 73.239732 116.315782
2025-11-23 22.170260 26.513603 32.329443 41.186448 55.498877 80.780245 141.485895
2025-11-30 21.372572 25.766798 31.748289 41.068122 56.657786 85.786316 164.296590
2025-12-07 20.547720 24.927545 30.966300 40.547225 57.029167 89.320017 186.108406
2025-12-14 19.360837 23.528376 29.294966 38.490734 54.436903 86.112951 184.213610
2025-12-21 18.902947 23.122379 29.040157 38.662330 55.873033 91.996367 220.566045
2025-12-28 18.848967 23.276020 29.609042 40.209783 60.096629 105.744071 317.294233
2026-01-04 18.061490 22.442140 28.790964 39.627342 60.638325 112.141043 414.267396
2026-01-11 17.541515 21.980384 28.529507 40.016142 63.371442 126.686648 724.755166
2026-01-18 17.256145 21.833940 28.730094 41.224538 68.173129 151.946930 2887.872637
2026-01-25 16.779722 21.369572 28.381715 41.373968 70.606629 171.814247 NaN
2026-02-01 16.055030 20.492292 27.304233 40.024514 69.079994 173.847312 NaN
2026-02-08 15.382443 19.665896 26.265127 38.659410 67.290053 173.789793 NaN
2026-02-15 15.152133 19.503115 26.306464 39.398483 71.142732 207.455918 NaN
2026-02-22 14.787406 19.114223 25.943000 39.289108 72.696592 231.845259 NaN
2026-03-01 14.384618 18.648620 25.422384 38.807392 73.094781 250.190506 NaN
2026-03-08 13.765112 17.823721 24.253816 36.901988 68.992007 229.153635 NaN
2026-03-15 13.525376 17.586998 24.082062 37.061199 71.115840 263.524309 NaN